Sunday, December 1, 2019

Iron Bowl Grades


According to Coach Saban, the central importance of discipline is the lesson to be learned from the bitter end of the 2019 Alabama football season. How having it is the key to being successful, and how the lack of it is an infection that will eventually contaminate all around you.

Lack of football discipline manifests itself statistically in penalties. The Tide’s lack of discipline was on full display in Alabama’s 45-48 loss to Auburn. Bama was penalized 13 times for a collective loss of 96 yards. Five Auburn first downs resulted from Alabama penalties, the most galling of which has to be the illegal substitution penalty at the end of the game allowing Auburn to retain possession instead of punting from its own 26 yard line.

That penalty kept Alabama from having one last chance to score and maybe win the game. But a much earlier penalty on Bama's first possession of the game-offensive holding on Alex Leatherwood-negated what would have been a 37 yard touchdown pass from Mac Jones to Henry Ruggs, III. The drive ended with a field goal, so the penalty cost Alabama four points in a game it lost by three.

So, how does the 2019 Crimson Tide stack up to its most recent predecessors in this critical measure of discipline?

Over the twelve games of this season, Alabama has been penalized 90 times for 830 yards, and has allowed opponents to convert a third down by penalty 31 times [Auburn accounts for 5 of those 31 possession-down conversions]. The 2018 team, over fifteen games was penalized 87 times for 796 yards, and surrendered 29 first down conversion by penalty. The 2017 squad-the last to win a National Championship-was penalized a total of only 69 times for 569 yards, and allowed only 25 first downs by penalty.

Discipline, or the lack thereof, is also reflected in the on-field behavior of team leaders. A disciplined leader separates his teammate from the fray to avoid a penalty. A leader lacking in discipline substitutes himself for the teammate and more often than not draws a penalty.

Yes. Alabama has been riddled with injuries. Yes. Alabama has lost key talent to the NFL [I wrote everything I have to say on that topic last week.] But Alabama lost the 2019 Iron Bowl, and forfeited any chance of returning to the College Football Playoff, because they lacked discipline.

Coach Saban was not referring only to discipline in games. His critique was much broader. He implied Alabama has not disciplined in practice, in the film room, in the weight room. Against teams of lesser talent, an undisciplined effort can still result in victory. Against better competition? Look at the record: the 2019 Crimson Tide was winless against their two best opponents.

What makes the 2019 Iron Bowl result even harder to bear is the undeniable fact Alabama ought to have won the game comfortably. The objective statistics tell the story: Total yards-Alabama 515, AU 354; First Downs-Tide 28, Tigers 23; Time of Possession-Bama 35:52, Barn 24:08; Touchdowns-UA 6, Auburn 5.

Alabama had one non-offensive TD-Jaylen Waddle’s kick return-Auburn had two-interception returns [one from the Auburn end zone]. In other words, Alabama’s offense scored nearly twice as many touchdowns as did Auburn’s offense.

Here are two more stats that tells so much about the course of this game: Squandered Points [scoring opportunities lost to error]: Alabama 11, Auburn 0; Points allowed off turnovers: Alabama 14; Auburn 7.

Because whatever post-season game Alabama is invited to will be meaningless, and the only benefit of an invitation at all is December practice to work on fundamentals, I have a suggestion for a better way to spend the time and reward the fans with a game Alabama is guaranteed to win: Instead of playing Virginia, or Boise State, why not have a December A-Day game? …. But I forget, doing something like that to actually help the team improve will violate multiple NCAA rules; and we all know the NCAA is all about the Best Interests of The Student Athletes.

I will forego any discussion of the extra time out awarded to Auburn at the end of the fist half. Dissecting what laughably passes for “officiating” is the special remit of Our Correspondent From The Tire Store. This post is about grading the performance of the team, and this game is challenging enough, I do not have band width to include a critique of the Zebras.

The statistics tell one story. The result of the game tells another. So, I will grade the game as objectively as possible, then adjust for results. With that in mind, here is how I grade the game:

Offense:                      C+                   I’ve already recited the total yards and first downs. Mac Jones ran the offense quite well, completing 26 of his 39 pass attempts for 335 yards and 4 TDs [Jaylen Waddle (3); Henry Ruggs, III (1)].

Ruggs was Alabama’s leading receiver with 99 yards on 6 catches. Waddle gained 98 yards on 4 receptions. DeVonta Smith caught 5 passes for 80 yards. Jerry Jeudy also caught 5 passes gaining 26 yards. Six different receivers caught passes; officially Mac caught his own pass when one attempt was batted back to him by an on-rushing Auburn defender. I am not including his boomerang catch in the total for all receivers.

Najee Harris was fantastic. He gained 146 net yards rushing on 27 runs. Mac Jones showed his toughness and competitive drive gaining 32 net yards on 8 runs, including a 4th down pick up of 18 yards to give Alabama a chance to tie the game late.

The offense had seven possessions that gained 40 or more yards [55, 75, 62, 74, 63, 90, 52] resulting in 4 TDs, 1 FG, 1 Int, and 1 Missed FG Att.

What would otherwise have been an A+ performance is downgraded to C+ to account for the turnovers. That C+ grade is further adjusted for overall results to: F

Defense:          C                     Auburn gained 354 yards total offense [181 net rushing] and earned 23 first downs. The defense limited Auburn to only three drives of 40 or more yards [50,75, 77] resulting in 2 TDs and 1 FG. From a scoring perspective the Defense allowed Auburn 34 points.

Xavier McKinney was the co-leader among defenders with 8 tackles [7 solo]. Raekwon Davis-returning from injury-also made 8 tackles [7 solo]. Shane Lee made 7 tackles, and Anfernee Jennings made 6. In total, Tide defenders made 4 tackles for lost yardage and forced 3 fumbles. Christian Harris made Bama’s lone fumble recovery.

Auburn’s success in the passing game came, in part, from some outstanding plays by Tiger receivers making one-handed catches in tight coverage. At least three times, Bo Nix was rescued from bad throws by highlight reel catches.

What could have been an A-quality performance by the Defense is downgraded two letter grades for penalties, especially those allowing Auburn to extend drives. On two of Auburn’s three sustained drives, Alabama was flagged for a major infraction [Pass Interference; Roughing the Passer]. Therefore, the performance grade is the stated C. That grade is further adjusted for overall results to: F

Special Teams:

Kickoffs:         A                     Joe Bulovas averaged 47 yards per kick on 8 kickoffs. The coverage team allowed 3 returns for a total of 48 yards. Jaylen Waddle’s 98-yard kick return for a touchdown was spectacular. He and Trevon Diggs combined for a total of 177 yards returning Auburn kicks.

Punting:           C+                   Ty Perine punted 3 times for an average of 45 yards per punt.  Alabama had no opportunity to return an AU punt, and the coverage team allowed Auburn’s Christian Tutt two returns for a total of 47 yards.

Place Kicking:             D         Bulovas was successful on all PAT attempts and was 50% on FG attempts. He kicked the ball into the left upright at the end of the game thereby failing to tie the score at 48.

Special Teams aggregate grade of C is further adjusted for overall results to: F

Coaching:                    F          Play calling inside the red zone, particularly in “and goal” situations was unproductive. Why we do not have a “Jumbo Package” remains a mystery. The coaches have to take responsibility for the 13 penalties, especially number 13 on the day; illegal substitution giving Auburn a first down and the opportunity to kill the clock instead of having to punt from the AU 26. I know there was some malpractice on the part of the officials but the only people in the Western Hemisphere who thought Auburn intended to run a play in that situation were members of the Alabama coaching staff.

Discipline is a good thing. With it, one can achieve a standard of performance from which good results follow. Without it, even one who possesses greater talent must depend on chance or fortune for success. Remember the fable of the Tortoise and the Hare. The speedy Hare sprinted ahead of the Tortoise, but lost the race because the Tortoise had the discipline to keep going, while the Hare took a nap.

In football terms, the team with players disciplined to execute their assignments will have the opportunity to defeat a team of more talented players who lack the discipline to play as a team. When Coach Saban arrived in Tuscaloosa in 2007 he famously told reporters at his introductory presser that he wanted Alabama to be the kind of team that “other teams hate to play.” Not because they will be chippy, dirty, or even more talented; but because they will be relentless, and disciplined competitors.

The three-year trend line of penalties indicates the 2019 class has been on a downward arc in discipline. Hopefully, that downward arc hit rock bottom on Pat Dye Field last night. I for one can imagine no loss more dispiriting. I genuinely do not care whether we outscore whatever barely bowl eligible opponent we face on New Year’s Day. The result of that game is meaningless. What matters is whether the men in crimson jerseys play with discipline. Let’s start with that, and let the results take care of themselves.

A return to discipline in The Process is essential. Coach Saban undoubtedly knows this, and anyone listening to his post-game remarks should pay attention. And if you work for Coach Saban, you need to match your personal work habits to the standard of discipline Saban expects from the players. Surrounding oneself with good, hard-working, disciplined people is part of The Process. Getting shed of those who are not, is in The Process as well.

This will be the last edition of The Grades for the 2019 season. I look forward to a final report from The Tire Store.

Until next season, thank you for reading this blog. And thanks to all the Correspondents whose valuable contributions, and willingness to step in when needed, I could not do without.

Roll Tide, Y’all.  

The Commissioner


Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Tires Store Report -- Western Carolina

Thanks, Commissioner, and we mean that in a lot of different ways.

We sometimes lose track of just how difficult it is to be as prompt and consistently crisp and clear as you are with your game reports.   Yours of yesterday was as bracing as a sunny November afternoon.  We know your task is especially tall when games are like the one on Saturday, with Alabama doing what a team like Alabama should do to a badly overmatched opponent.

All of the various ideas for topics to address that we had laying around the shop like so many air wrenches, you already described quite eloquently: a celebration of the seniors, check; a recounting of the game statistics, check; putting into context of the season just what this game meant, check; calling out a senior that even we have never heard of who has now proudly writ his name in crimson flame in the Alabama statistical record which will never be taken from him, check; an analysis of the coaching job done not just in this game and this season, but a sustained record of excellence that requires the occasional moment to stop and observe and just say “oh, my”, check; a quick look ahead at what the future might hold for the 2019 edition of the Crimson Tide, check….

Given your hard work we find little else to say about that contest or this season. Well done.

Instead, if the readership will indulge us, especially at this time of the year, we’ll pause to be thankful.  Down here in the land of brake dust and grease pits we occasionally run into a slow afternoon where even though there’s no real cause -- pretty weather, not a state holiday, not too far from payday -- it’s just a slow day.  Those days used to make us really anxious and wonder whether scattering a few roofing nails an intersection or two up the road might at least get us a few flat fixes, just to pass the time, you understand.

Given a little more age, we have learned that sooner or later the slow days will give way to some much busier days when there hardly seems room for all the cars to fit on the lot and everyone needs four plus an alignment.  So, we have learned to be a little more relaxed, to sit back in the chair, watch out the window as the cars go whizzing by, and be careful to give thanks for what we have.

One of the things we are thankful for on the slow days is this, whatever this is.  We appreciate the fact that we are part of the Alabama community.  In a day when civil discourse on issues where reasonable minds might differ too often quickly devolves into name-calling and worse, we, like Lewis Grizzard, are happy to have something we can rally around with confidence.  We are thankful for those who take a few minutes out of their very busy lives to join us here each week.  We have made life-long friends by virtue of this blog for whom we are everlastingly thankful.  Occasionally someone will take an extra minute out to send us an email -- we are appreciative of that, even when it starts with something like: “Hey, chucklehead, your pre-dementia is showing, that play you were talking about was in the ’78 season, not ’79.”

We have already rambled on longer than we intended this week.  Follow whatever traditions you hold to.  Ours is to remind ourselves that the blessings we have are not a product of what we have earned, but what we have been given. We hope that you and your families are able to gather safely this week.  We hope you find a slow time to stare out your equivalent of our plate glass and contemplate the things in your life that you hold dear and make you truly happy.  And if you need a starting point, go ahead and put your allegiance to your team on that list.  As the Commissioner has documented, Alabama has enjoyed a sustained level of excellence the last several years that is the envy of the college football world.  But, again with a nod to Mr. Grizzard, win or lose, always us.

Happy Thanksgiving, everyone.  Let’s beat them like they stole a cow.

Roll Tide.