Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Tire Store Report -- LSU



Excellent work, Commissioner.  There were indeed many questions answered on Saturday evening. 

We agree with those grades, with one exception.  Regular readers know it is rare for us to disagree with a letter grade, but we think that the F for place kicking was simply wrong.   There are earnest hard workers out there who are earning their grades of between 53 and 56.  This place-kicking unit just doesn’t deserve to be in their lofty company.

OK, maybe we are a bit harsh.  Maybe.  No component of this unit seems to have it together.  We had a kickoff out of bounds, only one kick into the dadgum end zone, a long kick return, one iffy snap, a completely botched hold, a missed blocking assignment, and a PAT kick that was less good than attempts we’ve seen from contestants in Dr. Pepper’s Kick for Tuition. Contestants who were wearing skirts.  And barefoot.  These issues didn’t matter against LSU, but they will matter at some point this season if it plays out like we all hope and expect.  And you are absolutely correct that it is on the coaches to fix these problems, one way or another.

On the other hand, you are so right to point out that the punt game was more or less a disaster just three games ago.  Now, Bernier is doing a solid job.  We are sensitive to the fact that we may be grading on a curve, because we never expected him to be J.K.Scott and so far he hasn’t kicked any 12-yarders.  It’s always great to see the walk on do well.  Besides, this team isn’t playing the sort of games where it needs to constantly pin the other team deep.

Instead of making other various comments about your excellent analysis of the offense and defense, both of which continue to improve and play well, we’ve thought we’d add our thoughts about the officiating on Saturday and the larger issues that raises.

Regular readers know that down here beside the grease pit we are no fans of the SEC officiating mess.  The “crew” system instituted now long ago, has been a disaster.  Calls are inconsistent from crew to crew and even from official to official within specific crews. For example, the pass interference call on Savion Smith on Saturday would likely have been a no call on the other side of the field, and we know that because a mirror-image play later in the game was not flagged.

However, Saturday evening we moved from the realm of incompetence to what had all the earmarks of the officials favoring one team over another.  It all started with a game in which Alabama did not even participate.  As Gary reminded you at least 164,000 times LSU linebacker,  Devin White, was suspended in LSU’s last game for targeting, which included a suspension into the first half of LSU’s game with Alabama.

Look, there is a need for some rule about blows to the head in football.  The NCAA has to react to the threats posed by CTE for the safety of the young men who play in the games as well as to protect the sport from lawsuits that could end organized tackle football.  The current targeting rule might be well-intended, but it is convoluted, difficult for the officials to apply in real time, and results in harsh penalties.  We don’t actually know anyone (except the NCAA) that is saying it is a good rule, either as written by the committee or as applied by the officials.

With that said, the idea that Alabama as an institution has conspired with the SEC to “use” the Targeting Rule to somehow gain an advantage in games would be laughable, had it not been given currency by all sorts of media reports, celebrity conversation, and lots of people in yellow-and-purple-striped tinfoil hats. 

Really, y’all?  Do you think the difference in this year's Alabama vs. (insert prior SEC opponent of your choice here) game was that one of their defensive players didn’t play the first half because of a bogus targeting call in the prior game?  If Alabama had the kind of pull in the SEC Office that some bayou-dwellers seem to think, that’s not how it would be exerted.  Wouldn’t it make a lot more sense, not to mention be a lot easier, to use our vast leverage so that we didn’t have to play in Death Valley at night?  I mean, everyone generally agrees that night time there is “different” and that LSU has a definite advantage in the evening due to … something -- its rabid fan base, atmospheric conditions, alcohol, voodoo, the ghost of Napoleon -- something.  As things now line up, Alabama is going to play the University of Georgia for the fifth straight time in the state of Georgia and for the sixth of the eight meetings in this century.  One would think Alabama’s massive collusive power would do something about that state of affairs.

But going past that, back to Mr. White’s specific situation, we’ve seen the video of the play that got him penalized.  The way things have been called this year, we are confident there are games where that would not have been called targeting and games where it would have.  And we are sympathetic to our Cajun friends in their frustration over the interpretation and enforcement of the rule, actually.  Where our sympathies end and our disdain begins is where they claim that Alabama is somehow to blame.  We are going to suppose that the majority of their fans were frustrated about White’s penalty and didn’t actually wander into the conspiracy swamp.  We trust that thinking was limited to the ones who are suspicious of airplane contrails or who believe certain corporate officers are actually interstellar reptilians. 

So there are two questions to ask.  First, how much did White’s absence affect the outcome of this game? 

Hardly at all, we would say.  If your football team is such that the loss of one defensive player for one half means you have no hope of winning a game, you likely didn’t have any hope of winning it to start with.  White is a fine linebacker.  He is not the greatest defensive player in the history of the NCAA (fill in your own candidate here), he is not the best current defensive player in the SEC, he wasn’t the best defensive player in the game on Saturday night (Q. Williams), for our money, he is not even the best defensive player for LSU (G. Williams and we’d listen to an argument that Delpit is a better athlete).  And so far as we know, he doesn’t run any plays in their offense.

Second, how much did the whole situation end up otherwise influencing the game?  

Unfortunately, our answer here is a decent amount.  LSU’s administration, coaching staff, and a decent chunk of their fan base (even the ones who aren’t conspiracy-minded) basically spent two weeks arguing for favorable officiating on Saturday evening.  They got it.  In spades, or perhaps we should say in fleur di lis.  The math is what it is.  Alabama regularly ends up near the top of the list of teams whose opponents get the fewest penalties called on them.  That is one list you do not want to top.  Somehow, teams that face one of the most dominant teams in the game, and without regard to their play before and after facing Alabama, suddenly become very compliant with the rules.  Again, if Alabama ran the SEC Offices, you'd expect that list to look very different. Before Saturday, LSU was averaging being flagged for nearly 60 yards in penalties per game.  Saturday night, they took three flags for 15 yards -- one was for too many men in formation and one was for a false start well after the issue was decided. 

The targeting call on Delpit was overturned.  Were you the least bit surprised? Maybe not coincidentally, Delpit was the same player who just moments before dove at Tagoviola's legs on a play stopped by the official’s whistle.  Gary Danielson, of course, excused the late hit and said that no one on the field could have heard the whistle.  Though if you look at the replay you can see players from both teams standing up looking around at the time of the hit.  Somehow they managed to hear.  Live play or not, it is (rightly) against the rules to dive at a quarterback’s knees on a tackle attempt.  Of course, this dive appeared to be aimed at the knee with the brace on it.  The same play also resulted in hit to what Tua described as his “goodies”.  This is a family blog, so we’ll leave off discussions there.  Suffice it to say at least a garden-variety unnecessary roughness penalty seemed in order.  Not with Matt Austin’s crew in Baton Rouge.  Nothing to see here.  Drag your quarterback off the field.  Move along.

No wonder their secondary is so feared -- they were consistently allowed to hold the arms and jerseys of Alabama players running pass routes.  Have you seen the video clip of Williams getting a sack even after being held by two LSU players at the same time?  One Alabama defensive lineman (or maybe linebacker) had his jersey pulled up over his face like they do in hockey fights sometime -- that’s why we couldn’t tell who it was.  No call then, either.

To conclude far too late, we have frequently complained about SEC officiating.  We have always tried to be clear though -- we believed the officials were not as skilled and efficient as they needed to be in calling games not that they were crooked or paid off or rooting for one team over the other.  We have felt the “Bama Effect” of officials not calling fouls on our opponents, an effect which is backed up by, you know, math. 

Saturday night was the first time we have felt like the officials were purposely calling the game less strictly against one SEC team. If there was a conspiracy in action Saturday in Baton Rouge, it didn’t involve secret backroom meetings between Alabama’s athletic director and the SEC offices; instead, it played out in the newspapers, on ESPN, social media, billboards, tee shirts, and signs towed behind airplanes.  LSU lobbied the SEC not to call penalties against it in the Alabama game.  Whether the officials were conscious of it or not, it worked.  Pitiful.

On to Mississippi State.  This team may be better on both lines of scrimmage than any team Alabama has faced all year.  They played much lesser competition than we did Saturday.  Add to that the fact that it is hard to get a team excited to play critical games in consecutive weeks.  The coaches and players have their work cut out for them.  We have confidence in them.

Roll Tide.  Beat the Bulldogs.
  

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Sunday, November 4, 2018

LLLLLLLLSU Grades

Lots of questions swirled around the college football world in the run-up to this season’s Game of the Century, also known as Alabama vs. LSU. And for good reason. Undefeated and top-ranked Alabama was on the road against a one-loss LSU that controlled its own destiny for a spot in the SEC Championship Game and College Football Playoffs. The stakes in this game were as high as they have been anytime since the 2011 season.

Here are just a few of the Qs asked and As given:

Q: Can Tua play four full quarters of a football game?

A: Yes he can. Not only can he play a full game, Tua proved he can beat a very good opposing defense passing and running. He threw two touchdown passes [Henry Ruggs, III; Irv Smith, Jr.] and scored a rushing touchdown on a 44-yard keeper right through the middle of the Tiger defense.

Q: Can the Tide offense have success running when the passing game is not producing single play, 75 yard touchdown drives?

A: Alabama’s running game, overshadowed in the previous eight contests, emphatically answered this question by posting 281 yards and two TDs.

Q: Is there a conspiracy among SEC officials to favor Alabama with questionable penalties against opponents?

A: Do your friends and loved ones know that you are entertaining such ridiculous thoughts? Even the most paranoid Auburn, LSU, or UT fan should be cured of such delusions by watching the shamefully bad performance turned in by referee Matt Austin and his crew. Offensive holding? When LSU had the ball, forget about it. Pass interference? No wonder LSU’s secondary was the toast of pre-game punditry. ESPN distanced itself from James Carville’s conspiracy theory crazy-talk, and Gary Danielson even had to acknowledge the flexibility in how the Zebras were calling the game.

Q: Why do they call their stadium “Death Valley”?

A: Because the name “East Baton Rouge Parrish Land Fill” was already taken.

Alabama’s 29-0 win indeed answered lots of questions. Because the readers of this blog may have more questions unanswered, here is how I grade the game:

Offense:       A.      Alabama gained 576 yards of total offense [281 rushing], earned 29 first downs, converted 9 of 15 possession downs, and controlled the ball for 35:18 of game time. Tua played all but three plays. He was forced to sit out one play after absorbing a cheap shot after the whistle on a play during the Tide’s opening drive. And Mac Jones took the last two snaps of the game. Tua completed 25 of 42 pass attempts for 295 yards and two TDs. He threw an interception in the second quarter, his first of the year.

Jerry Jeudy was the Tide’s leading receiver with 103 yards on 8 receptions. LSU’s secondary refused to let Jeudy get behind the safeties, and thereby limited his yards gained after the catch. Irv Smith, Jr., Henry Ruggs, III, and Jaylen Waddle each caught 4 passes. Damien Harris caught 3 passes and Josh Jacobs gained 23 yards on 2 receptions.

Harris was Alabama’s leading rusher, gaining 107 net yards on 19 carries [5.6 average]. Najee Harris gained 83 yards on 6 runs before leaving the game with an injury to his lower right leg. As I write these grades I have not read any update on Najee’s status.
The offense scored on every other possession. The Tide had seven sustained drives [41, 78, 75, 54, 42, 72, 80] that produced 4 TDs, 1 FG, and 2 punts.

Defense:         A+       LSU entered the game with the reputation of being a team with an outstanding defense and a competent, meat and potatoes offense. The Stop Troops made that meat look like Spam, and the potatoes like those instant mashed potato flakes you mix up with warm milk. LSU managed to gain only 196 yards of total offense [12 yards net rushing]. Including yards lost to sacks, LSU attempted to run the ball 25 times and averaged only 18 inches per rushing attempt. The Tigers only made 13 first downs and converted only 5 of 16 third down opportunities.

Quinton Williams led all Tide tacklers with 10 total [7 solo]. Saivion Smith and Dylan Moses each were credited with 6 tackles. Shyheim Carter made 5 stops. All total, Alabama inflicted 10 tackles for lost yardage [5 sacks], intercepted a pass in the Tide end zone, broke up 7 passes and hurried the LSU QB 2 times.

Special Teams:

Punting:           B          Mike Bernier punted 4 times for an average of 32.8 yards per punt. He dropped 2 punts inside the Tiger 20 yard line. The coverage unit allowed no return yards.

Place Kicking:    F      Joseph Bulovas made his lone FG attempt [23 yards] but missed a PAT and had a second PAT blocked.

Kickoffs:          D-         Bulovas averaged only 59.5 yards per kick off. One kick sailed out of bounds, and only one of his 6 kicks resulted in a touchback. The coverage team gave up a 57 yard return. Alabama had no return yards, but only had one opportunity.

Coaching:       B+.         Until the kicking game gets sorted out it will be hard to grade the coaching job in the As. Alabama was penalized 6 times for 60 yards. LSU was penalized only 3 times. The officiating situation in the league is a shambles therefore I refuse to take penalties into account in the coaching grade. The participation report lists 48 players who saw action in the game.

Here are some other questions answered by yesterday’s results around the conference:

Q:  The winner of the UGA / Kentucky game was the winner of the SEC East; does this mean the Wildcats are now a real football school?

A:   No. Dawgs 34 ….. Cats 17.   The SEC CG will be a very good game.

Q:   Has A&M shed itself of the Kevin Sumlin late-season swoon?

A:   Nope. Jimbo Fisher has still got work to do on that front. The Aggies blew a 10 point lead in the fourth quarter after out-playing Auburn for most of the day.

Q: Now that Alabama has locked up the SEC West and assured itself a spot in the Championship Game, will the coaches start working on Georgia this week?

A:  If you think this is a legitimate question, you are subscribing to the wrong blog. The CBS on-field reporter asked Coach Saban this question in the immediate post-game interview. Saban, to the surprise of no one who follows Alabama football, did not even know that beating LSU decided the SEC West championship. Coach Saban is thinking only about correcting things, helping the team play with more consistency, and getting ready for Mississippi State.
So should we all.

Let’s teach those Starkville Bulldogs how to behave.

Roll Tide everyone.


The Commissioner       
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