Saturday, November 27, 2010

Auburn Grades

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Eighteen Points ... or was it twenty two ... or was it only six?

One of those numbers is the answer to the question that has plagued me since Friday night. The question is: How many points did Alabama leave on the field in the 2010 Iron Bowl? It will probably not make the cut for inclusion in a sports trivia contest, but it is the relevant question to ask the day after Alabama blows a 24 point lead and loses to Auburn by a single point in the fourth quarter.

Readers of The Grades can probably tick off the missed opportunities without prompting. (i) First and 10 from the Alabama 40, GMac completes a pass over the middle to Mark Ingram who runs 41 yards to the Auburn 19 and loses a fumble at the end of the run; the ball scoots out of the back of the end zone for a touch back-minimum of 3 points lost. (ii) First and goal from the Auburn 3; Trent Richardson drops a pass on a well blocked duplicate of last year's game-winner; Richardson gains one yard on second down from the Wildcat and we settle for a FG after GMac misses Hanks on 3rd down-4 points left begging. (iii) Second and goal from the Auburn 8, the ninth play of a 67 yard drive late in the second quarter, GMac is sacked by an unblocked Nick Fairley who forces a fumble he then recovers-at least 3, possibly 7 points lost. (iv) Third quarter; Aub punt returner, Quidarius Carr, is deboned by Courtney Upshaw who forces a fumble recovered by Dre Kirkpatrick at the Barn 12 yard line; a false start penalty followed by a sack, cause the Tide to settle for a 32 yard FG-4 points lost.

Two things have been repeatedly written and said about the 2010 Tide: (i) this is a team in search of an identity, and (ii) this team has yet to play a complete game. Well, we are at the end of a 9-3 season and I think it is safe to say: "This is a team whose identity is to not play complete games."  One of our Correspondents made the observation that the members of Nick Saban's first No. 1 recruiting class, who are juniors this year, need to forget about the 2011 NFL draft, and focus their senior year on the unfinished work from 2010.  For the most part, that's hard to argue against.

Has Marcell Dareus played to his full potential? Has Marquis Maze? Mark Barron? What about Josh Chapman? Courtney Upshaw? William Vlachos? And don't forget Brad Smelley, and while you're at it-what about, yes, Mark Ingram?

In my opinion, there is one member of this junior class who has come to play in every game, who, from my perspective never takes a play off, and is the best football player on the Crimson Tide: Julio Jones. He has more than earned whatever opportunities await players selected in the 2011 NFL draft.  The remainder of his classmates have work left to do; much like those points that were left on the field instead of notched on the scoreboard against Auburn.

I will address what I see as work to be done, but first, here's how I grade the game:

Offense:     D-     What other grade is there to give? Yes, the first quarter was spectacular. The offense didn't have a single negative play in the first 15 minutes of the game and scored three TDs in its first three possessions. Then the wheels fell off. In the second quarter, the offense managed 3 points from a first and goal inside the Auburn 5. For the remainder of the game, Alabama answered Auburn's 4 TDs with a single field goal.

GMac had one of his best statistical games on Senior Day, as he completed 27 of 37 pass attempts for 377 yards and 2 TDs. Julio Jones led all receivers with 10 catches for 199 yards. Darius Hanks caught 5 passes for 39 yards, and Mark Ingram added 91 yards on 4 receptions; Mark's longest reception [41 yards] was marred by a forced fumble at the end of a determined catch and run. Maze had 2 receptions for 13 yards, including one on the left sideline for a first down, that would make the highlights in the NFL. He appeared to be open but as the pressure picked up on GMac, there were fewer balls thrown his way.

The running game was statistically pathetic [69 net yards], but 5 sacks totaling 23 yards of losses, are a drag on a performance that would otherwise have been merely weak [93 gross rushing yards]. Ingram had 36 yards on 10 carries and Trent Richardson had 24 yards on 10 rushing attempts. It is certainly worth noting that the offense attempted to take advantage of what Auburn was giving, and the Auburn secondary is not all that good. After the first quarter, the Tigers' pass rush improved-or the Tide O Line had a harder time protecting.

Julio accounted for 273 all purpose yards [199 receiving; 12 rushing, 62 kick returns].

Alabama had 6 drives for 40 or more yards-all consecutive, all in the first half-[71, 81, 61, 83, 48, 65] that resulted in 3 TDs, 2 fumbles and a FG. In the second half, the Tide's longest drive was 29 yards. It could have been the game winner, however, after reaching the Auburn 34 yard line with a first and 10 the next three plays were a loss of 2 running, an incomplete pass and a loss of 4 on a sack. GMac suffered a concussion on the tackle and was finished for the game.

Defense:     C+      Cam Newton came into the game averaging 117 yards rushing per game. He managed only 39.  As a team, Auburn averages 291 yards rushing and 41.6 points per game. Against Alabama, the Barners managed only 108 yards rushing and scored only 28.

Auburn's first 4 possessions of the game consumed all of 15 plays, gained only 35 yards and resulted in four punts. Newton was obviously unaccustomed to being tackled by a single player who was strong and quick enough to bring him down. Consequently, on option plays, Newton consistently dished the ball too early and Alabama had that play well defensed all night. Marcel Dareus made a picture perfect open field tackle of Auburn's soon to be Heisman Trophy winner [and eventually to be determined ineligible player] that set the tone for a solid defensive effort.

There was no way that the defense was going to keep Auburn from scoring, but giving up a 70 yard TD on the second play of the second half, was a bust that allowed the Aubs to close the score to a difference of 10 points and shifted the momentum for the remainder of the game.

Each of Auburn's TDs came on long drives [8 plays 80 yards; 2 plays 69 yards; 8 plays 75 yards; 11 plays 67 yards].

Courtney Upshaw had his best game of the season, recording 10 tackles [7 solo; 8 for loss (-19), 3 sacks] 2 forced fumbles and a QB hurry.

Demarcus Milliner was credited with 9 tackles [8 solo] and C. J. Mosley had 6 [5 solo]. Barron, Luther Davis, Dont'a Hightower, Dequan Menzie and Robert Lester each had 4 tackles, while Will Lowery, Dareus, Damion Square and Dre Kirkpatrick each had 3.

All total, Alabama defenders recorded 9 tackles [4 sacks] for loss of 37 yards.

Special Teams:

Punting:    B      Forcing a fumble in punt coverage, like blocking an opponent's punt, almost guarantees an A+. However, shanking a punt for only 13 yards, like getting a punt blocked, almost guarantees an F. Alabama punted 4 times, all in the second half, for an average of 33.8 yards per kick. Marquis Maze returned 2 Auburn punts for zero yards.

Place Kicking:     A     Jeremy Shelley was good from 20 and 32 yards and was perfect on all three PATs. The only problem with place kicking was that the offense didn't provide more PAT opportunities.

Kick Offs:       C+      Cade Foster only averaged 60 yards gross per kick. The coverage team allowed an average of 17.8 yards per return, thereby producing a net average per kick of only 42.2 yards. The return game was reasonably effective: 3 returns for 62 yards.

Coaching:      C-   I may be accused of being charitable with this grade, and I can understand that criticism. Immediately after the game I would have assigned an F to the coaches. There is plenty of justification for a failing grade: (i) 7 penalties, including 2 substitution infractions on defense; (ii) asking Cody Mandell to execute a play-punting to the corner-that he has struggled with all year; (iii) being 12 games into the season and not having an offensive line that can produce a credible inside running game; and (iv) losing to Auburn. After a night's reflection, however, I have to give the coaching staff credit for devising a game plan the held Auburn's offense in check, and allowed the offense the opportunity to put the game out of reach before intermission.

But this was Auburn. And this was a loss, unlike the loss at South Carolina, that was self-inflicted. This one hurts.

Coach Saban told the media after the game: "To succeed you have to finish things." Alabama didn't finish this game, and it didn't finish its season. Nobody knows that more viscerally and intensely than Saban.  So what are some of the unfinished items in the business of Alabama football?  For what it's worth, here are my five contributions to the suggestion box:

1.  The offensive line needs to get stronger, tougher and more dominant. There is no good reason why Alabama cannot score a running touchdown from the 3 yard line with 4 plays to do it.  Likewise, there is no good reason why a guy like Nick Fairly should ever get an unblocked shot at our quarterback.

2.  The defensive front 7 needs to pick up where it ended this season and improve. The D-Line and linebackers generated good pressure against an outstanding Auburn offensive line. This sort of effort, plus a little more, needs to be the standard.

3.  The secondary has to keep working on recognizing what the opposing offense is doing, and adjusting within the framework of the defensive play.

4.  Overall conditioning has to be addressed as well. In 2009, Alabama was clearly the better conditioned team in all of its games. That differential was not present this year against LSU and Auburn.

5.  Recruiting is the life-blood of every college football program. I'm excited about the existing 2001  commitments. We need to get them in the door, and continue to apply The Process to the players already aboard.

I had convinced myself that  writing The Grades would ease the frustration I feel. I was wrong. The fans at BDS were outstanding yesterday; nobody left until the clock was all zeros and the Bama faithful were in it to the bitter end.  Coach Saban acknowledged that fact in his post-game remarks and he took responsibility for the fact that the team did not play up to the standards set by the program. As the players headed to their respective locker rooms, and the fans began to leave their seats, the Auburn band played the "Rammer Jammer" their fans mocked Alabama with a twisted version of that iconic cheer. My abiding hope is that twelve months from now, Coach Saba and the players-especially next year's seniors-make them pay for that disrespect.

With no Alabama game to grade next week, my next Blog post will be end of year recognition for MVPs and others.

The Commissioner

2 comments:

  1. I saw things from my perspective at the Faculty Lounge about the way you did. When we talked at halftime we discussed those points left on the field in the first half. Auburn has staged comebacks all season and we had to know it was coming. Not to be able to respond is bitterly disappointing. If the game had been played in B'ham in the old days I think the Bear would have made them carry the bus back to Tuscaloosa. The loss of the SEC championship game in 2008 followed by the shellacking by Utah set us up for the undefeated season and the national championship last year. Maybe the plan is to play well every other year and collect national championship trophies in the even years. In any case, we'll just have to wait 'till next year, now.

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  2. Good analysis Commish. I hope the players are as frustrated as the fans and do something about it. Saban says toughness comes in response to adversity. I hope they find it.

    I was extremely excited at our offensive play last night. It was different from different looks. We had misdirection, formation changes, and an attack mindset. Until Ingram's fumble. I don't think anyone could stand on the 19 yardline and roll a ball through the endzone on purpose as that ball did. But from that point on, we went back to what had been sputtering all year long. Why do we continue to try the Wildcat when it is clearly no working? What happened to misdirection? One reverse? Maze can throw the ball-let him try. We just seemed to shut it down and it caught up with us.
    It is no consolation that we lost to the best team money can buy. The issues are not settled and I don't think the SEC or the NCAA is too pleased at The U from Miami now residing in that "loveliest (?) village on the plain".
    Still bleed crimson, renewing my pledge to the Crimson Foundation, and remain a member of Tide Pride as long as I am physically and fiscally able!
    Roll Tide

    Correspondent from Section G Row 10.

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