Sunday, October 5, 2014

Mississippi Grades



One reason that football is such a fascinating game is the curious interplay and correlation between individual and team performance.  On a given play, every single player on the team, save one, can perform at the very highest level and the play can be a complete disaster.  Similarly, most of the players can perform at a high level for most of a game, but one or two poor plays can result in a loss.  Most of the time, where teams are relatively evenly matched, even though close to 200 plays will be run, the outcome will hinge on just a few plays.  One mistake can spell the difference between victory and defeat.  One poor game can ruin a season.

 

Which brings us this morning to the still smoldering ruins of the University of Alabama football team’s effort against Mississippi on Saturday afternoon.  The first half of the game seemed to be a bit of a struggle.  Alabama was forced to deal with some serious adversity, but as the teams headed to the locker room with Alabama leading 14-3, running the ball with some authority, and getting the opening kickoff of the second half, there was reason to feel optimism.  A combination of individual miscues, a few bad plays, lack of discipline, and mental mistakes turned what could have been a winning effort into an abject failure.

 

Many football watchers say that in a close game the first two possessions of the second half are critical.  Alabama’s started well, but then bogged down, based on questionable communication, iffy coaching, and some poor individual performances/decision.  So despite moving the ball well, Alabama came away with zero points.  Mississippi by contrast, scored a touchdown on four plays, one of which was for negative yardage.  It proved to be telling for Alabama’s performance for the second half.  The final sequence, which should have been a first down inside the Mississippi 20 with 45 seconds and a time out remaining, changed with a needless holding call to second and forever and a poor play call by the coaches, a poor decision from the quarterback, a questionable effort from the receiver to end Alabama’s hopes.  It should, of course, never have come to that.

 

Looking only at the offensive and defensive statistics, you would think Alabama won.  Alabama racked up nearly 400 yards of total offense (against a good defense) to only 323 for Mississippi.  Sims was a respectable 19-31 for 228 yards passing.  Alabama rushed for 168 yards to their opponent’s 72.  In fact, the longest rush for Mississippi went for a total of 12 yards on its first play from scrimmage -- a quarterback draw.  T.J. Yeldon once again surpassed the 100-yard mark in rushing.  Amari Cooper was double teamed or more all day and still had 91 yards in catches.  Alabama was -1 in turnover margin -- not usually a fatal deficit, especially given that the Mississippi turnover led to 7 points just before halftime.  Alabama ran more plays and possessed the ball for 33:21 to Mississippi’s 26:39, and it felt like more than that.

 

As usual, the statistics do not tell the whole story.  One of Alabama’s turnovers was late in the game with the chance to perhaps run out the clock and seal the win.  The other ended the game.  Alabama was flagged 8 times bringing its last two game total to 19.  Alabama missed two field goals, though on a blustery day we are not likely to give the placekicker too many demerits on a 51-yard attempt.    Mississippi gained 112 yards on kick returns, one of which led very directly to its only first half points.

 

It has to be said that injuries played key role in this game.  Kenyan Drake was a valuable component of the Alabama offense.  Coach Kiffin has had somewhat similar backs at other schools and used them in a variety of creative ways.  Simply put, Alabama does not have a true “back up” for what he brought to the offensive scheme.  His injury appeared horrific and we join all Alabama fans in hoping he is able to make a full recovery.  Denzel Devall left the game early in the first half, and his loss was felt for the rest of the game.  He will have a MRI today to further diagnose a lower leg injury, rumored to be the dreaded high ankle sprain.  But the biggest loss of all may have been center Ryan Kelly.  His knee injury in the third quarter led to a redshirt freshman, who played acceptably well all things considered, but cost at least one time out and disrupted rhythm with low shotgun snaps.

 

Overall, Alabama committed enough penalties and turnovers to lose a couple of games.  Combined with significant injuries, the inability to make adjustments, and a failure of players to play with discipline and carry out assignments what ought to have happened, did.  Mississippi played better than Alabama did and won the game.  The General Ackbar Rebel Black Bears probably played about as well as they could have and deserve much credit.  But make no mistake, Alabama contributed mightily to its own defeat.

 

All the analysis, navel-gazing, and joining hands in a circle to sing the Alma Mater is not going to improve any of this -- not a whit.  Or, as one fan I know put it:  “how to you spell ‘pfffttt’?”

 

On to the Grades.

 

Offense:  D-.  Yes, the injury to Drake was devastating, in more ways than one.  However, the offensive line left much to be desired.  Regular readers know it is not our habit to call out particular players by name, but nearly every position across the offensive line contributed a critical error on Saturday.  In particular, 5-star sensation O.J. Howard was the second leading receiver with 3 catches for 87 yards.  But he whiffed on a couple of key blocks, dropped a third down conversion catch that hit him in the hands, had a critical penalty, and at 6’6” did not outleap a 5’9” Mississippi defensive back on Alabama’s last offensive play.  Sims managed once to hard count our offensive line into an illegal procedure penalty.  It was that kind of day.  Yeldon ran with authority but on a couple of occasions juked instead of just bulling forward for more yardage -- at least once it cost a first down.  Henry could not find running lanes inside and is not at his best trying to bounce outside and turn the corner.  It is worth noting at this stage that Henry’s back up would be Alabama’s 5th string running back, probably Altee Tenpenny. (T. Jones had finger surgery last week and is out for a few weeks).  Bozeman will be better after more reps with the first team defense.  Sims probably needs to run a bit more when receivers are covered, but we understand after the Florida game why he did not.  However, in one critical series he cost 10 yards in three plays by not just chucking the ball into the stands.  Mississippi’s defense is clearly better than Florida’s, but not enough to explain why a team with this many offensive weapons was held to just 10 points.  Alabama contributed plenty to its own loss.

 

Defense:  D+.  Statistically the defense played well enough to win.  However, it gave up far too many third and long conversions.  Holding Mississippi to just 23 points was no small feat given that on at least two occasions the Tide gave Mississippi a short field to work on.  Holding any SEC West team to 72 yards rushing is very, very good.  All that said, when the game was on the line in the fourth quarter, the Stop Troops gave up 13 critical points.  It seemingly had no answer to the trips and diamond wide receiver formations and Mississippi just continued to run them with success.

 

Special Teams:

 

            Place kicking:  F.  We missed two critical field goals.  We disagree with the decision to try a 51-yarder on a windy day, but that kick wouldn’t have been good from 5.  Kickoffs were short and low.  Coverage was hit and miss.  We fumbled on a critical return and made a poor decision running a kick off back out of the end zone.  Alabama had a running into the kicker on a clanged extra point.  They did block the follow up extra point, which could have been determinative.  We fielded a kickoff that was probably headed out of bounds.  The more we think about it, the more we wish there was a grade worse than F.  

 

            Punting:  A+.  The only bright spot for special teams was punting.   J.K. Scott punted 6 times, with a long of 64 yards, and dropped three inside the 20, still managing a 51.8 yard average.  He (ahem) single-footedly flipped the field on one occasion.  Of course, it explains how the day went when the brightest position was “punter”.

 

Coaching:  F-.  Coming off a bye week, Alabama was ill-prepared for the game.  Despite having its own artificial turf to practice on, players slipped and slid all day.  We did not envy the coaches dealing with the loss of Drake, with an injury so horrific that Mississippi players took one look and ran in the other direction. We seemed to run with success to the left throughout the second quarter, but seemed to forget that the rest of the game.  We could not adjust to the three/four receiver bunch.  If we can’t figure that out there are at least two and maybe three remaining opponents that will pass us silly.  One stupid penalty is on a player, 19 in two games is on the coaches.  OK, I will stop.  There is just no way around it.  Alabama has lost its last three games against ranked opponents.  That trend must be reversed.

 

Officiating:  We know everyone clicked the link dreading to read what we at the Tire Store had to say about the officiating.  We aim to please.  The officiating, both ways, was putrid.  Both coaches had room and reason to complain.  In addition to the usual inconsistent work this crew was reversed by replay.  A lot.  Some plays that should have been reviewed were not (e.g. Yeldon’s dive into the end zone near the end of the first half).  Both teams complained mightily that something odd was going on with the play clocks (we couldn’t always see them on TV, but it just didn’t “feel” right.)  And when was the last time you can remember that the HOME team complained about clock operation?

 

On to next week.  No time to wallow in self-pity and what-might-have-beens.  Alabama travels to Arkansas to play the Hogs on Saturday.  A running, smash-mouth machine.  Here is hoping for better preparation, fewer injuries, and a positive outcome. 
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